Now that the College Football Playoff Committee has released its first poll we can move on to the bigger story, who’s going to head perennial powers—Michigan and Florida?
Sources tell us that, while there’s still a chance that Minnesota’s Jerry Kill could opt not to return in 2014, it’s much more likely he will come back and give it another go if he can get his health issues under control.
According to the Pioneer Press, Kill is likely to receive a raise. Yes, Kill has health issues, but it’s hard to argue with the job he’s done. The Gophers have won eight games in ten tries in 2013.
Texas A&M coach Kevin Sumlin has refused to address rumors linking him to the USC job.
There are rampant rumors of a rift with his A&M A.D. Eric Hyman, and Johnny Football and Mike Evans will be off the the NFL soon.
Sumlin’s career has taken him all over the country, including a stop at Washington State. He fits any everywhere.
We still think it’s more likely the Trojans end up with a coach with an NFL pedigree, but anything is possible.
Norm Chow isn’t not sure he likes being a head coach. He told CBS announcers, “I’m not sure if I am cut out for this head coaching thing.”
At 0-9, it’s certainly possible that Hawaii is looking for a new coach come December.
All signs point to Indiana’s Kevin Wilson being safe. The Hoosiers score points in bunches, but they’re 114th in points allowed. Wilson will likely get 2014 to get the defense fixed and get to a bowl.
Illinois‘ Tim Beckman inherited a team that had won back to back bowls for the first time in program history, but he has yet to win a Big Ten game in nearly two full seasons.
A.D. Mike Thomas recently told the Chicago Sun-Times that the program is getting better (apparently 2-10 and 3-6 are better than 7-6), but refused to address Beckman’s future.
“I’m not going to get into hypotheticals,” Thomas said. “You ask the question, ‘Is the program developing and getting better?’ I think it is. I’m looking forward to continuing progress in the program.”
We doubt Beckman gets fired in his second season, but if the Illini end the season with losses to Ohio State, Purdue and Northwestern, that might be enough to cut the cord.
Mississippi State is 4-5 with Alabama, Arkansas and Ole Miss remaining. If the Bulldogs get to 6-6, Dan Mullen is more than likely clear to return next season. Anything worse and things get dicey.
If the Bullies were to drop all three remaining games, it’s very possible Mullen could be shown the door.
We continue to hear Boise State’s Chris Petersen is open to a move.
Sources indicate that West Virginia’s Dana Holgorsen will likely return in 2014. The Mountaineers are playing better and athletic director Oliver Luck didn’t get the Texas. With Luck still in Morgantown, Holgorsen is highly likely to get another year.
There’s a lot of chatter about Charlie Weis’ status at Kansas.
The Jayhawks fired Mark Mangino two seasons after we won 12 games and the Orange Bowl. He was 8-5 and 5-7 the following two seasons. Then, Turner Gill went 5-19 in his two seasons in Lawrence before being dismissed. Weis is 3-18 after 21 games.
It’s hard to see how Kansas makes another change after only two seasons. We think there’s a chance this job opens – but it’s more likely it doesn’t.
What about Mangino? He’s back at his alma mater loving life…
We’re hearing that UConn is in the market for an up-and-coming coordinator; head coaching experience is not a requirement. We also hear that they have money to spend to get the right guy.
At Florida, sources indicate that Will Muschamp is likely to survive, but look for major staff changes on the offensive side of the ball.
If the Gators finish 5-7, which is likely, it will be the first time Florida has had a losing record since 1979. Even with the mounting injuries, that’s hard to swallow.
Can A.D. Jeremy Foley handle the heat and keep Muschamp in place for 2014?
We’ll find out soon.
Pressure has eased on Mississippi State coach Dan Mullen after the Kentucky win, but there is still tons of chatter. As we’ve mentioned previously, if they make a move, expect ULL’s Mark Hudspeth to get first call.
It’s no secret that their top target is Nick Saban. Other early names to watch include Art Briles, Jimbo Fisher, Charlie Strong and Jon Gruden.
Speaking of Gruden… This year could finally be the year he returns to coaching. However, the most likely landing spot may be his old stomping ground. There’s lots of chatter Gruden could return to the Raiders with full control over the front office.
Early names at Florida Atlantic include two first-year offensive coordinators with strong south Florida ties — Miami’s James Coley and Cincinnati’s Eddie Gran. Gran was a serious candidate when Carl Pelini was hired.
Expect staff changes at Appalachian State.
If a move is made to get rid if Dana Holgorsen at West Virginia, don’t be surprised if Rich Rod is a candidate to return home. It would definitely be interesting to watch the fan base’s reaction if that took place.
The Florida International job could open after just one year under Ron Turner.
There is major pressure building to oust Bo Pelini at Nebraska. He needs to win, badly. If he goes, former Husker quarterback and current Oregon offensive coordinator Scott Frost could be a candidate, although most think he needs a little more experience.
At USC, Jack Del Rio is still very much in the mix. Fresno State’s Tim DeRuyter is also getting some attention as a fall back option.
Most believe Pat Haden’s early targets will be bigger names and will likely have NFL experience.
At Toledo, second-year coach Matt Campbell has signed extension through the 2017 season.
Campbell was promoted from offensive coordinator when Tim Beckman took the job at Illinois. The Rockets are 14-7 under his watch, including a 5-3 record and 3-1 in the MAC this year.
There are lots of rumors that Boise State’s Chris Petersen may finally be ready to finally make a move.
Photo credit: Kerry Smith, AP
Could Auburn play in the National Championship Game?
While it may seem far fetched, at least one former major college coach thinks it’s a distinct possibility.
“The way things falling out, Auburn could end up playing for the whole thing,” the coach told one member of the Rumor Mill staff today.
I laughed at first but after giving it’s some thought, it’s not as out there as you might think.
The Tigers control their own destiny, and their two toughest remaining games — Georgia and Alabama — are both at home. A win over Georgia doesn’t nearly as out of reach as it did a month ago, and while Alabama is, well, Alabama, Gus Malzhan’s offenses have caused their share of problems for Nick Saban.
The Auburn players apparently don’t think it’s crazy, either.
“I think we can win it all. You know?” defensive end Dee Ford said earlier this week. “There’s no reason to say that we can’t. We said we wanted to have the biggest turnaround in college football. Why not win it all?”
Still, a road win over a Texas A&M team that is porous (to put it nicely) on defense is a long way from playing for the National Championship. This was, after all, a team that was 3-9 last season and had clearly quit competing for Gene Chizik late in the year.
The Tigers should get a win Saturday at home against Florida Atlantic, but they still have to travel to Fayetteville — a place where Auburn has historically struggled even when it has won — where they’ll face an Arkansas team that should be hungry for a big win for first-year coach Bret Bielema.
The Tigers also must also go to Knoxville to face a Tennessee Vols team that may present the biggest challenge left on the regular season schedule not named Alabama.
Regardless of whether or not Coach is right and the Tigers end up playing for the title, there’s no denying that the turnaround Malzahn has orchestrated thus far on the Plains has been remarkable.
It will be very interesting to watch how it plays out the rest of the way to say the least.
Southern Miss now boasts the nation’s longest losing streak. 18 games. As Mississippi sportswriting legend Rick Cleveland recently pointed out, it has been 670 days since the Golden Eagles have tasted gridiron victory. It takes more than one bad season under a new coach to get that bad.
It takes a few years of bad recruiting. It takes an incompetent president and an ill equipped, ego-centric, uninformed and incompetent athletic director, a bunch of meddling boosters and a host of other factors.
Southern Miss used to play toe to toe with the Alabamas, Auburns and Nebraskas of the world. Now? The Golden Eagles are stuck in a conference with UAB, Rice, UTSA, FAU, FIU, MTSU and the like — and losing.
Meanwhile, former conference foes Tulane, East Carolina, Tulsa, SMU and others are either playing in or set to play in the revamped AAC (former Big East), while former rival Louisville is headed to the ACC.
Southern Miss currently has 23 freshmen on the two-deep depth chart. Seventeen of those are true freshmen. Of the 19 offensive linemen signed in 2009 and 2010, only four remain on the team.
Southern Miss bypassed purgatory and went straight to hell — and the Golden Eagles may be there for quite some time.
Not surprisingly, Oregon State coach Mike Riley’s name has again been mentioned in connection with the USC job. Keep in mind, Riley has turned down both USC and Alabama (his alma mater) in the past.
Has there been a guy over the past 11 seasons who has done a better job? Oregon State used to be considered the worst job in the Pac, but not anymore.
Riley has compiled a 79-54 record since he returned in Corvalis is 2003. The Beavers are off to a 6-1 start this season after an opening day loss to Eastern Michigan and a slew of injuries. The schedule gets tougher down the stretch, but Riley will likely have them in every game.
Could the Corvalis native end up back at USC after all these years? Scott Wolf of the LA Daily News reports that he asked Riley directly a couple years ago if he would ever return to USC. “You never know,” he said.
Our sources view a move as possible, but unlikely.
Dan Mullen got a much needed win over Kentucky tonight. The Bullies are now 4-3 and will need to win two more to be bowl-eligible. South Carolina, Texas A&M, Alabama, Arkansas and Ole Miss remain. Frankly, it’s hard to find two wins in that group.
As we’ve noted previously, if he goes winless with some bad losses, he could be in big trouble. Could being the operative word.
Our guess is that he wins one and returns for 2014.
How do coaches grade film after a game? Here’s some interesting insight from former Florida and Illinois coach Ron Zook via 247sports’ site AuburnUndercover:
“Everybody grades differently, but we used to always have an assignment and a technique grade for every single play. We always added a hustle grade…
The assignment: What was the player’s assignment and then the technique in which he performed that assignment? Not every player is going to be involved in every single play. If he’s lined up right, carries out the assignment and his responsibility – and does it with the correct technique and does it with hustle, then usually we are going to give him a plus.
What you’re going to do is take the number of plays that you have and divide it by the number of minus plays and come up with a grade.”
Photo credit: Todd J. Van Emst, Auburn Media Relations
It’s not exactly a secret that Bo Pelini is in trouble at Nebraska.
The situation isn’t wholly about wins and losses. He has won a lot of games, but has yet to win anything of real significance. His personality has also rubbed a lot of people the wrong way, and that combination is not a good one.
Even though it was a “no brainer” in the eyes of most fans, the general consensus among the coaching fraternity is that it was hard to justify Lane Kiffin’s firing. Kiffin won 8, 10, 7 and was fired after a 3-2 start — all while on NCAA probation.
The way they see it, Kiffin’s team had 55 scholarships vs. everyone else’s 85, and USC athletics director Pat Haden loved him in August.
Haden was appealing the NCAA sanctions and complaining about the hardships the scholarship reductions have caused the same week he fires Kiffin for not winning enough games. Amongst coaches, that generated a collective “Huh?” and will likely cause at least some potential replacements to think a little longer before taking the job.
Elsewhere in the Pac-12… We’re not sure how many games Washington has to win for Steve Sarkisian to keep his job, but one thing is clear: he’s in trouble. The Huskies are 4-3 and the opening win over Boise doesn’t look so impressive anymore.
Three consecutive losses — the last two by 21 and 29 — do not bode well. Upcoming games vs. Cal and Colorado look like wins, but UCLA, Oregon State and Washington State will tell the tale, and he needs a strong finish. Seven (or fewer) regular seasons wins could get him fired.
Dana Holgorsen is in jeopardy at West Virginia. It certainly looks like he’s going to win fewer games each consecutive season. After winning 10 in 2011, the Mountaineers won seven last season and are 3-3 with a tough schedule ahead this year. Add in off-the-field and personal issues that plagued his early time in Morgantown and things don’t look good.
You can also add Mississippi State to the watch list. Though one source said earlier this week that Dan Mullen was safe, multiple others see it differently. Apparently, Mullen has rubbed some folks the wrong way and made his share of enemies in Starkville.
If that wasn’t enough, the natives are plenty restless about his team’s performance on the field. At 3-3 with road games against South Carolina and Texas A&M plus home games vs. Alabama and arch-rival Ole Miss still on the docket, there will be plenty of sleepless nights ahead for Mullen.
What’s perhaps even worse for Mullen, State fans love Mark Hudspeth, who served as the Bulldogs wide receivers coach and passing game coordinator under Mullen in 2009-10 and is currently head coach at Louisiana-Lafayette.
Hudspeth’s Ragin’ Cajuns went 9-4 each of the past two seasons and currently sit at 4-2 with a slew of probable wins on the schedule. Chances are, he’ll look like an even more enticing candidate come December.
Also keep an eye on Minnesota. Jerry Kill has done a great job, but his health may force a change there.
Photo credit: Doug McSchooler, AP
ESPN’s Adam Schefter reported Sunday that Louisville’s Charlie Strong and Stanford’s David Shaw have been tabbed by the NFL’s recently formed advisory panel to help to identify potential minority coaching candidates.
According to Schefter, the league “will be an upset if Strong is not a leading candidate for various NFL head coaching openings this winter.”
Not so fast.
Sources close to Strong indicate he’s inclined to stay in college — no matter what the NFL’s advisory panel suggests.
The 53-year old Strong is in his fourth season at Louisville and signed an eight-year extension worth $3.7 million per year in late January. The Cardinals are 31-15 during Strong’s tenure, including a 6-1 mark this season.
At Florida, sources in Gainesville indicate Will Muschamp is currenly not in danger of losing his job, regardless of how the Gators finish. Of course, things change quickly in college football. We do expect a staff shakeup on the offensive side.
Speaking of Florida, this was the week Ron Zook was fired in year three. Zook’s record was 20-13 overall and 14-7 in the SEC. Muschamp’s record is 22-11 overall and 13-8 in the SEC. Let that simmer for a minute…
Despite three wins in a row including a Red River Rivalry triumph over arch-rival Oklahoma, we’re told Mack Brown is still not out of the woods at Texas. An 8-4 record might not be enough, perhaps even 9-3 if that loss is a blowout to Baylor.
If the Longhorns do make a change, look for Nick Saban to get the first call. Jimbo Fisher, Art Briles and Charlie Strong are also likely to make the initial list of candidates.
Keep an eye on West Virginia, Virginia, Oklahoma State and Mississippi State. They could all open.
Eastern Michigan and UNLV are in serious jeopardy.
At USC, we’re told to keep an eye on coaches with an NFL background. Also, don’t rule out Texas A&M’s Kevin Sumlin.
Photo credit: Keith Srakocic, AP
[dropcap]F[/dropcap]ormer Illinois co-offensive coordinator Billy Gonzales will join Dan Mullen’s staff at Mississippi State.
Gonzales, who is known as an excellent recruiter, spent last season on Tim Beckman’s staff at Illinois as co-offensive coordinator and wide receivers coach. Gonzales worked with Mullen on Urban Meyer’s staffs at Bowling Green, Utah and Florida.
It was announced last week that Gonzales would not return to Illinois. He was also thought to be a target of Doc Holliday at Marshall and was mentioned as a possible receivers coach on Gary Andersen’s staff at Wisconsin.
An official announcement concerning the hire is expected to be made later today or Wednesday.
Mullen will have to make room for Gonzales as the Bulldogs currently have nine on the field assistants. The most likely scenario is a current assistant moving to an administrative role.
According to Brandon Marcello of the Jackson Clarion-Ledger, Gonzales was on the MSU campus today. At Illinois, he shared offensive coordinator duties with Chris Beatty in 2012, but Beatty was fired after the Illini averaged only 16.7 points per game.
Gonzales coached at LSU in 2010-11 as passing game coordinator and wide receivers coach. Prior to LSU, Gonzales coached under Urban Meyer at three different schools – Bowling Green, Utah and Florida .
He coached for two years at Bowling Green under Meyer and alongside Beckman before moving on with Meyer to Utah for the 2003-04 seasons. Gonzales was part of national championship teams at Florida in 2006 and 2008.
Gonzales will be the third new member of the Bulldogs’ staff since the end of the 2012 season. Mullen hired former NFL assistant Deshea Townsend as the team’s cornerbacks coach in January after Melvin Smith left for a similar position at Auburn. Geoff Collins was promoted to defensive coordinator and David Turner joined the staff when Chris Wilson left State to coach Georgia’s defensive line in January.
At Illinois, Gonzales shared the offensive coordinator title with Chris Beatty, who was let go after the season. Illinois averaged only 16.7 points per game last season, last in the Big Ten during a 2-10 year.
Beckman hired former Western Michigan coach Bill Cubit as his offensive coordinator last month.
There is one open spot on the Illinois staff, as Beckman hired ex-Millersville (Pa.) head coach Greg Colby to the defensive line. Colby replaced Keith Gilmore, who left for North Carolina.